[外絮] Lin: Projecting Averages in 2012-13

[essendo (essendo)]

Jeremy Lin: Projecting Houston Rockets' PG's Season Averages in 2012-13

原文網址: http://ppt.cc/wTT-

from - Bleacher report
By  Patrick Clarke  (Featured Columnist) on August 21, 2012


美媒預測書豪新季數據 場均能砍16.2+5.5

中文來源:ESPNSTAR.COM.TW  http://ppt.cc/Ar2t


Houston Rockets' point guard Jeremy Lin brought New York to its collective
feet last season, but what does he have in store for 2012-13?


Of course no one knows for sure what the future holds for Lin and the
Rockets, but why not make some projections based on what we have seen already?


Here I will attempt to project Lin's scoring, assist and shooting numbers for
this upcoming season (as a point guard Lin's presence in the rebounding
department can be considered irrelevant).

Let's begin.


Scoring

Lin averaged 14.6 points per game in 2011-12 with the Knicks, but only played
in 35 games total.

He also averaged just under 27 minutes per game for the
season, which leads me to believe that he will score more with more court
time in Houston.

2012-13 Projection: 16.2 PPG

Kevin Martin led the Rockets in scoring last season, averaging 17.1 points
per game. Considering that there is no Carmelo Anthony or Amar'e Stoudemire
in Houston, I would not be surprised if the man dominating the ball, Lin, led
the team in scoring. Based on my 2012-13 projection, he will wind up leading
the team, averaging just over 16 points per night.

得分：16.2分

林書豪2011-12賽季在尼克場均14.6分，
但一共只打了35場比賽，場均上場時間只有27分鐘，
相信他新賽季在火箭的出場時間要高得多，得分數據將會隨之上漲。

凱文-馬丁上賽季是火箭隊得分王，場均17.1分，
但火箭沒有卡梅隆-安東尼或者阿瑪雷-史塔德麥爾，
林書豪的出手機會不成問題，場均16分以上可期。


Assists

Lin averaged 6.2 assists per game last season, but will have fewer stars to
finish off his passes for points in Houston.

As already mentioned, the Rockets lack the star power that the Knicks possess,
and that will make assists harder to come by for Lin.

2012-13 Projection: 5.5 APG

With very little scoring options outside of Kevin Martin, Lin will take it
upon himself to look to score more often this coming season with the Rockets.

He'll still make passes and pick up assists of course, but at a much lower
rate with a starless squad.

助攻：5.5

林書豪本身就不是一位傳統型控衛，
上賽季場均助攻6.2次，得益於尼克開放式進攻以及眾多得分手。

但火箭缺乏足夠的得分手來完成他的助攻，
所以下賽季的助攻對於林書豪來說是一個挑戰。

除了馬丁之外，林書豪沒有太多助攻對象可供選擇，
因此數據比上賽季略低也在情理之中。


Shooting

Lin wasn't terrible shooting from the field or the free-throw line in 2011-12
with the Knicks, but he could have been a lot better in my estimation.

He shot 44.6 percent from the field, shooting 5-of-11 from the field on the
average night.

However, Lin struggled from beyond the arc, connecting on just
32 percent of his long-range shots.

2012-13 Projection: 43.5 FG%, 34.0 3P% and 77.5 FT%

I expect Lin to be better from three-point distance with the Rockets this
season as he is still improving on his range.

On the other hand,
I believe Lin will experience dips in his field goal and free-throw shooting.

Although nothing major compared to his 2011-12 numbers,
the drops will still be noticeable.

投籃命中率：43.5%，三分34%，罰球77.5%

作為一名後衛，林書豪上賽季各項投籃數據都不算難看，
命中率44.%，場均出手11次，命中5球，
但他的三分球還是不太穩定，32%的命中率差強人意。

相信林書豪會在新賽季提升自己的遠射命中率，讓自己的射程更遠一些，而在兩分球以及
罰球命中率上基本與上賽季持平，穩中略降。


When the 2012-13 NBA season is all said and done, Lin will have had a decent
year with the Houston Rockets.

That's not to say that it will be worthy of
$25 million or even be enough to lead Houston to the postseason.

Still, Lin will be one of the league's better scoring point guards and a player
on the upswing of his NBA career.


(那句 That's not to say that it will be worthy of $25 million ...

換成肯定句會不會好一點?!XD

---------------------------------------

原文底下的回應, 大家開始預測....XD




--
※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 114.45.173.29
推 Zeka6721:Lin是控球出手次數就是固定的10~15次跟隊友是誰根本沒關
→ Zeka6721:係，而且控球後衛得幾分一點都不重要，完全不懂外電在寫
推 shadowydark:Bleacher report這新聞網站愛追求噱頭花邊
→ essendo:他意思可能是林在尼克就幾乎必須餵球給甜瓜或阿罵,在火箭
→ essendo:自己出手機會大些
→ shadowydark:至於佐證和可信度就....
→ Zeka6721:什麼整篇都是猜測，還往最不合理的方向猜
→ essendo:下面網友預測的會不會準一點XD
推 Zeka6721:說的白一點跟O'Neal的類型一起打球拿助攻難 是因為球風的
→ Zeka6721:的關係拿到球後單打強攻 相反的跟雷槍類型的選手助攻比較
→ Zeka6721:容易入手 因為跑到空檔接了就投 跟隊伍強弱也沒太大關係
→ Zeka6721:這篇得分跟助攻的觀念都錯的
→ essendo:好在有Zeka大,不過火箭隊友實在太陌生了
噓 Paraguay:球場黑洞? 這樣說別的球星不好吧...
→ Paraguay:原文我看了幾次可沒有說到"黑洞"這個詞
我把黑洞那句拿掉

推 killmejohn:我猜20+ 10ast
推 leroialice:這文看完有莫名的空虛感…為什麼說除了Martin以外沒太
→ leroialice:多選擇囧…
推 javabird:林的出手次數在不同教練,不同隊友在場時是有差異的,七連
→ javabird:勝瓜罵不在時出手次數最多,約15次以上;瓜罵在時約12次左
→ javabird:右;到了武僧時期林的出手次數平均約8次.
推 Zeka6721:http://ppt.cc/BMYl 我不認為那跟教練有關係2/15對國王出
→ ilanese:場均25分 + 10助攻 （無限開火權＋控球者）
→ Zeka6721:手4/6 3月21對七六人 出手4/17全隊之冠 其他位置或許會有
→ Zeka6721:出手數的差距 但控球後衛是可以自己選擇出手的 本身的想
→ Zeka6721:法決定自己的出手數
推 Zeka6721:只要是球隊贏很多的時候Lin就出手數少 他就是那種領先的
→ Zeka6721:的時候不會貪功 但在最困難的時候勇於出手的球員
→ Zeka6721:出手不到9次的尼克全都是大勝
推 Zeka6721:真要說教練有關係的話只能說武僧那段時間大勝了太多場
→ xyyzzz:5.5也太少了吧..主要是馬丁命中率跟國王時期比濫好多
→ xyyzzz:應該還是主打用跑位幫小馬丁清出投籃空檔Lin送球
→ xyyzzz:13分7助攻的效益比15.5/5 好太多了
推 EVASUKA:LIN會自己去找助攻機會，不一定要靠球星才能助攻
→ EVASUKA:如Novak
噓 attdave:噓球場黑洞 原文沒有的負面形容詞請不要自己加
※ 編輯: essendo         來自: 114.36.68.94         (08/22 19:48)
→ essendo:LIN會自己去找助攻機會+1 搞不好火箭被他挖幾個球星出來!
推 oumo:推翻譯 謝謝
推 yinchun:黑洞是ESPN加的，何必噓原po, 幫推
→ essendo:對不起喔 沒看懂黑洞 我以為是相對火箭隊的白洞XDDD (毆~
推 plzsmile:感謝翻譯。 真想趕快看球賽。
→ essendo:我也好想看球賽
推 JemyLin:火箭隊的白洞XDDD
推 ab32110:白洞～白色的明天等著我們～
→ Gnail:白洞是啥鬼啊XDDDDD
推 wuling1001:新浪翻的是這篇嗎? http://0rz.tw/TxeAA
推 javabird:不認為出手少是跟分數差距有關,六連敗時林的出手數也沒爆
推 iswearxxx:感謝原PO~也感謝Zeka6721大的講解^^
→ javabird:增.且武僧一上任大家都明顯感覺到林從第一節開始就出手少
→ javabird:了.武僧對控衛的要求明顯跟冷笑話不同,武僧是希望控衛以
→ javabird:傳球為主,像Nash或軟豆一樣出手數10次左右就夠了,但助攻
→ javabird:要多.這樣要求沒什麼不對,只是林要去適應,雖然樣本數不多
→ javabird:,但那幾場看起來林適應的還不錯,得分不算差,只是助攻要再
→ javabird:加強.
推 Paraguay:ESPN沒有加吧 不過有改有推回來 這裡雖是林版 但還是希望
→ Paraguay:不要攻擊到其他球星才好  辛苦翻譯推!
推 lsforever:中文ESPN加的喔...原PO上方有給連結
→ yinchun:Espn tw的翻譯有加啊，我沒看錯吧@@
→ JemyLin:其實多少還是有關吧 仔細看他上半場和下半場的得分和助攻
→ JemyLin:差異就看得出來 上半場都是盡量助攻 但是如果分數落後多
→ JemyLin:下半場他就會跳出來得分 而且從瓜罵回來林就開始調整降低
→ JemyLin:出手數 林當時也有說隊上其他得分點回來時教練團就有要求
→ JemyLin:他降低出手數了
→ kwx3129:教練團不同 出手次數當然有差 ESPN中文常亂加些原文沒得字
→ kwx3129:黑洞這詞是ESPN中文網自己翻的 跟原PO無關 並沒有攻擊意思
→ kwx3129:只覺得原PO很可憐 又不是他自己加的= =
推 kwx3129:幫推^^  轉載新聞擅改內容也不大好吧，下次碰到負面詞可能
→ kwx3129:要加註是原文寫的 省得被誤解...
我沒仔細過濾也是不對!XD
不過espn 好幾次翻譯都這樣,下次看他新聞真的要小心比對原文!

推 shinobilin:我猜18分8助攻
推 clockwise:就算Lin在火箭有無限開火權＋控球者，也不太可能場均有
→ clockwise:25分 + 10助攻吧？ 太誇張了
這篇虎撲上也有討論 http://bbs.hupu.com/4193823.html

還有投票!XD  目前預測20+7超過四成
這種預測文每個角度都不同,何況Lin不只經驗參考數據少,
火箭這季全新陣容更是很難模擬,大家都沒惡意,只是球總要
打下去,這些預測看看,看哪個誰的眼鏡先跌破!XD

→ clockwise:Rose在公牛也有無限開火權＋控球者，他數據也沒這麼誇張
→ yinchun:只是猜好玩的吧，c大不用那麼認真啦
※ 編輯: essendo         來自: 114.42.101.121       (08/23 13:42)